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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage (Read 25703 times)
JLouis
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #15 - Apr 27th, 2014 at 7:59pm
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The cost of the raw materials is not representitive of the true cost of the production material. Those involved in providing that material also need to make a profit to remain in bussiness. Therefore I am in dissagrement with your matrrial cost figures. The market for rifle and pistol components as well as ammo far exceeds the need for shotgun shells. These manfactures also have goverment contracts to fulfill both here and abroad and generally at a lower profit margin and those contratcts do take priority over the sportsman's needs.
  

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AJ
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #16 - Apr 27th, 2014 at 9:31pm
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This is only marginally related...I recently contacted CCI and asked if they planned to make a run of 22 CB shorts any time soon.  Their answer was that they make it when the number of orders is sufficient.  My interpretation of this is that they are really busy keeping up with long rifle ammo orders.
  
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frnkeore
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #17 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 1:51am
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Tell me who controls this company's output?

Alliant Technologies (ATK) is a major defense contractor. The civilian ammunition component of their business comprises only about 20% of their overall business. Their Security and Sporting Group is comprised of Federal Premium ammo, CCI ammo and components, Speer bullets and ammo, RCBS reloading equipment, Alliant Powder, Champion ammo, Weaver optics, Eagle Industries, and Blackhawk! Industries.Alliant Technologies is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia and has 60 facilities in 22 states, Puerto Rico, and internationally.

The government could tell Alliant that there is a need to supply the domestic market and to work on that, couldn't they? Or doesn't the government know that? After all there is only 1/2 war going on, it's not like when there wasn't a shortage and we where suppling two wars. How could it be that w/o that war need, we could now have a domestic shortage?

John,
Double or triple (no one will be able to do that to a prime contractor like Alliant),  the material cost of the brass for our products. What does that do to the end price? Nothing close to what has happened to prices of primers, for sure. Again, why hasn't shotgun primers gone up, noting 3 times more material and lower volume?

Also, only rifle and pistol people are capable of hording and not shotgunners?

Frank
« Last Edit: Apr 28th, 2014 at 2:02am by frnkeore »  

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JLouis
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #18 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 10:56am
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Shotgun primers have gone up, 30.00 a thous. currently at Powder Valley. CCI 200's are currently 27.50 a thou. at Bullets.com and their prices are typically higher than PV. Are you actually saying you would like the Goverment to take control of the manufacures on our behalf when they are so adament to dis-arm us? What is it you are trying to say, I fail to see a conspiracy just simply that the supply cannot keep up with the demand.
  

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waterman
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #19 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 4:12pm
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And demand being driven by a profound distrust of our present political establishment.

There is a fine line between hoarding and just making sure that you have enough of a substance to meet your needs before you can no longer acquire it.  Did people hoard good whiskey in 1919?
  
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #20 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 4:24pm
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Give you another theory, one that applies to my Rimfire purchases.

Packed 50 to a box average guy would buy a box or two. Heavy user like me generally bought a brick or two at a time. Rimfire gets short Joe average buys a brick, I buy a case, both buying 5-10 times as much as he did before the "shortage" multiply that across the country demand has gone up tenfold. 

Factories can accommodate increases in production if modest. You can't speed most production 10 times without significant changes and expansion, knowing the bubble, increased demand, will not last nobody is going to spend money to expand. Run some overtime perhaps, no new equipment.

My guess is like all bubbles it's going to burst and we will get flooded with Rimfire ammo at some point. Has not happened yet though.

Guess only who knows if it's right.

Boats




  
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #21 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 4:27pm
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waterman wrote Quote:
Did people hoard good whiskey in 1919?

I suspect whiskey is easier to make from scratch than a modern cartridge in its current configuration.

My grandfather wasn't a horder, but he did set aside a few extra rounds of 22RF before WWII stopped all availability for civilians. When the shortages of regular goods that required purchases with govt coupons became the norm, he was able to barter with his 22RF and mitigate some of the adverse impacts for his immediate family.

There's nothing wrong with the reasoning behind the old Scout motto of Be Prepared.

  

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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #22 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 4:33pm
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John

Will take exception to the shotgun shell-CF or RF ammo analogy. Somewhere there is a ratio of number of Shotgun shells produced to metallic Cartridge production. Don't know what it is.

However you buy components in volume. My 12 Gauge target shotgun loads use 17 grs or so of the same powder that my 45 acp uses. 5 grs at a time. So one shotgun shell uses 3 times as much powder as a 45 ACP.  Ratio on shot to lead bullet , about 450 grs of lead in a target 12 gauge shell.  200 grs in a 45 acp.

Having said that it seems the ammo companies are supplying loaded shells right well. Shotgun powders are all but imposable to buy. Shot and primers no shortage in my area. Could be the reason shot and primers are available is no reason to buy them without powder.

Who knows, all I know is it’s a mess

Boats
  
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #23 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 5:25pm
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Unless something has changed, ATK does not own the ammo mfg facilities where military ammo is produced. They simply have the multi-year contract to operate and administer it. They don't set prices to the gov't, simply pass costs through and are paid an administrative fee, etc., for same. Does anyone know if they are allowed to load commerical ammo at these sites? I would think not, so the availability of commercial ammo should not be affected by gov't purchase other than by drawing down raw materials, which are so readily available that there should be limited impact.

My guess on shotgun ammo (I'm one who stopped reloading as can't do it for any less money then I can purchase when on sale w/free shipping from Cabela's, etc.) is that the margins are fine on it is the reason that there has never been much of a shortage for same. I've never had a problem purchasing lead for casting.
  

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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #24 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 6:18pm
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Guys, 
Wasn't there some big hoopla about all the ammo the military was buying a while back?  Well this made headlines in todays USA Today.  Go figure.  Government to destroy $1.2 billion in ammo.  What's going on? Shocked Shocked
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JLouis
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #25 - Apr 28th, 2014 at 9:43pm
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Back jn the day it would have went to the DCM and offered back for use to the tax payers who paid for it in the first place. That type of misuse of the tax payers money should be a punishable crime and those overseeing it should be held responsible for the miss-management. Why should the taking of inventory be any different than what is required from civilian business's? If the ammo isn't considered fit for civilian use I am sure the pull down powder should be.
  

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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #26 - Apr 29th, 2014 at 9:09am
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We should be writing our congresspersons to demand the ammo that is appropriate (.308, .223, 9mm, non-armor piercing, etc.) go to the CMP (DCM descendant) for sale to the general public.
  

Glenn - Stevens 044 1/2, Bartlein SS 5R barrel in 22LR
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #27 - Apr 29th, 2014 at 11:17am
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I read the ammo being destroyed is obsolete mortar rounds and bigger stuff that even the components don't have a sporting use. While .gov can't or won't sell ammo they do have components sold after dismantling.  

Edit to add...

I know it doesn't help the massive conspiracy theory. And I do appreciate conspiracy theories. But when you have individuals buying up 22 lr ammo just because it is hard to find. They are creating their own shortage. I believe some day maybe 10 years from now. 22 ammo will be back to normal and estate sales will have massive piles of 22lr for sale cheap. When someone starts going through dads stuff and finds 50,000 rounds what else would you do.
« Last Edit: Apr 29th, 2014 at 11:25am by jimmy »  
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waterman
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #28 - Apr 29th, 2014 at 8:19pm
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IIRC, there was a saying around the time of VN that went something like "just because you are paranoid does not necessarily mean that someone is not out to get you".

I think the view that the demand & hoarding bubble will pop is hyper-optimistic.  You have to assume that normal & conventional rules of commerce will continue to control the transfer of the subject stuff between individuals.  I live on the Left Coast, where folks are already working on ways to end such practices.

What I tell my kids at every family gathering is that the stuff is only going to be worth more. We have 3 more years of BO and then 8 of Hillary.  By the end of that time, even transfer or ownership of the subject matter may be illegal. 

No garage sales. No estate sales.  Sell only 1 on 1, for cash or barter, no paperwork & only sell to people you know & trust.
  
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Re: .22 Rimfire Ammo Shortage
Reply #29 - Apr 29th, 2014 at 10:29pm
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Local cabelas had 3 different kind of 22lr this evening. I did buy any but thought about getting some cci standard.

  
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